Postpublished at 14:30 Greenwich Mean Time 5 December 2022
Japan v Croatia (15:00 GMT)
"Hi Chris, can you go out to Qatar and take photos of people's backs please">This is the only one of the eight quarter-finals to NOT feature one of the top seven ranked teams on Gracenote's world ranking. , external
Croatia are ranked 12th in the world by Gracenote's world ranking methodology and Japan are 18th. Both have risen sharply in 2022 with Croatia up 10 places from 22nd and Japan improving from 29th.
Most of those improvements were before the World Cup as they entered the competition in 14th and 21st respectively.
Gracenote's predictions give 2018 World Cup finalists Croatia 58% chance of reaching their third quarter-final in six appearances. Japan have 42% chance of reaching the last eight for the first time in seven attempts, having fallen at this stage three times before (2002, 2010, 2018).